Metz II vs Strasbourg II

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Metz II

Strasbourg II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 34.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% 2.22 DRAW 26.6% 3.50 AWAY 31.6% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Strasbourg II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.4% win probability, compared with 31.6% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Strasbourg II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Metz II Strasbourg II

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Strasbourg II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Metz II Strasbourg II

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Strasbourg II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Metz II Strasbourg II

The combined recent performance profile favours Strasbourg II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Metz II ↑ +0.12 (+5.7%)

Strasbourg II ↑ +0.15 (+5.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.