FC Sioni Bolnisi vs Aragvi Dusheti

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

FC Sioni Bolnisi

Aragvi Dusheti

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 24.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.0% 1.76 DRAW 25.3% 3.62 AWAY 22.7% 4.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Aragvi Dusheti has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Sioni Bolnisi Aragvi Dusheti

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Sioni Bolnisi Aragvi Dusheti

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Sioni Bolnisi Aragvi Dusheti

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Sioni Bolnisi ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

Aragvi Dusheti ↑ +0.14 (+3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.