Luton vs Ipswich U21

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Luton

Ipswich U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.8% DRAW 14.4% AWAY 9.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.5% 1.25 DRAW 15.1% 6.25 AWAY 9.3% 10.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ipswich U21

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Luton Ipswich U21

Shots 11.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 15.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Ipswich U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Luton Ipswich U21

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Luton has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Luton Ipswich U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Luton ↓ -0.05 (-3.8%)

Ipswich U21 ↑ +2.10 (+26.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.