Cambridge Utd (W) vs Milton Keynes Dons (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Cambridge Utd (W)

Milton Keynes Dons (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 22.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.8% 1.70 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 23.4% 3.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cambridge Utd (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cambridge Utd (W) Milton Keynes Dons (W)

Shots 12.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Cambridge Utd (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cambridge Utd (W) Milton Keynes Dons (W)

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cambridge Utd (W) Milton Keynes Dons (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cambridge Utd (W) ↓ -0.02 (-1.2%)

Milton Keynes Dons (W) ↑ +0.19 (+5.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.