Liverpool Feds (W) vs Middlesbrough (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Liverpool Feds (W)

Middlesbrough (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 31.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.16 DRAW 24.8% 3.75 AWAY 32.1% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Liverpool Feds (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liverpool Feds (W) Middlesbrough (W)

Shots 11.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liverpool Feds (W) Middlesbrough (W)

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liverpool Feds (W) Middlesbrough (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Liverpool Feds (W) ↑ +0.11 (+5.4%)

Middlesbrough (W) ↓ -0.04 (-1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.