Real Bedford (W) vs Portsmouth (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Real Bedford (W)

Portsmouth (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.6% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 60.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.9% 4.95 DRAW 21.6% 4.33 AWAY 59.5% 1.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Portsmouth (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Bedford (W) Portsmouth (W)

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Portsmouth (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Bedford (W) Portsmouth (W)

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Portsmouth (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Bedford (W) Portsmouth (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Portsmouth (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Real Bedford (W) ↑ +1.41 (+39.8%)

Portsmouth (W) ↓ -0.20 (-11.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.