Shooting Stars vs Katsina Utd

23 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Shooting Stars

Katsina Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.4% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 13.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.2% 1.45 DRAW 23.0% 4.10 AWAY 11.8% 8.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Katsina Utd

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shooting Stars Katsina Utd

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Shooting Stars, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shooting Stars Katsina Utd

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 1.0

Katsina Utd has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shooting Stars Katsina Utd

The combined recent performance profile favours Katsina Utd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Shooting Stars ↓ -1.17 (-44.7%)

Katsina Utd ↑ +5.70 (+247.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.