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Nigeria Premier League · NG

Bendel Insurance vs Ikorodu City FC

23 Sep 2026 · 17:00
NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp
Bendel Insurance
Ikorodu City FC
HOME 50.6% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 26.2%
HOME 51.5% 1.75 DRAW 23.7% 3.81 AWAY 24.8% 3.64

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ikorodu City FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Bendel Insurance Ikorodu City FC
Shots 9.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Bendel Insurance Ikorodu City FC
Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Ikorodu City FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Bendel Insurance Ikorodu City FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Ikorodu City FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bendel Insurance = (0.0%)
Ikorodu City FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.