Barau FC vs Abia Warriors

23 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Barau FC

Abia Warriors

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.3% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 14.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.9% 1.62 DRAW 27.9% 3.30 AWAY 15.2% 6.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Barau FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barau FC Abia Warriors

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Barau FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barau FC Abia Warriors

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.0

Abia Warriors has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barau FC Abia Warriors

The combined recent performance profile favours Barau FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Barau FC ↓ -0.15 (-8.2%)

Abia Warriors ↑ +1.86 (+44.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.