Antigua GFC Reserves vs CSD Municipal Reserves

21 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Antigua GFC Reserves

CSD Municipal Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.5% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 50.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.9% 4.20 DRAW 23.5% 3.90 AWAY 54.6% 1.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Antigua GFC Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 25.5% win probability, compared with 21.9% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Antigua GFC Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Antigua GFC Reserves CSD Municipal Reserves

Shots 15.3 · On target 7.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Antigua GFC Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Antigua GFC Reserves CSD Municipal Reserves

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Antigua GFC Reserves CSD Municipal Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Antigua GFC Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Antigua GFC Reserves ↑ +0.30 (+7.6%)

CSD Municipal Reserves ↓ -0.07 (-4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.