Cliftonville Reserves vs Bangor Reserves

21 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

Cliftonville Reserves

Bangor Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.0% DRAW 19.9% AWAY 18.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.2% 1.67 DRAW 21.5% 4.50 AWAY 20.2% 4.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Cliftonville Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.0% win probability, compared with 58.2% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cliftonville Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cliftonville Reserves Bangor Reserves

Shots 8.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Cliftonville Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cliftonville Reserves Bangor Reserves

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Cliftonville Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cliftonville Reserves Bangor Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Cliftonville Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cliftonville Reserves ↓ -0.07 (-4.3%)

Bangor Reserves ↑ +1.47 (+44.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.