Glentoran Reserves vs Ballymena Utd Reserves

21 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Glentoran Reserves

Ballymena Utd Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.6% DRAW 14.2% AWAY 9.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 74.6% 1.30 DRAW 15.5% 6.25 AWAY 9.8% 9.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Glentoran Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Glentoran Reserves Ballymena Utd Reserves

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Glentoran Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Glentoran Reserves Ballymena Utd Reserves

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.3

Glentoran Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Glentoran Reserves Ballymena Utd Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Glentoran Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Glentoran Reserves ↑ +0.19 (+17.1%)

Ballymena Utd Reserves ↓ -4.15 (-29.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.