St Ives Town vs Corby

21 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

St Ives Town

Corby

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 33.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.0% 2.25 DRAW 25.3% 3.65 AWAY 33.7% 2.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: St Ives Town

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

St Ives Town Corby

Shots 11.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours St Ives Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

St Ives Town Corby

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Corby has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

St Ives Town Corby

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

St Ives Town ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

Corby ↑ +0.14 (+5.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.