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England Northern League Division One · GB

Coleshill Town vs Sutton Coldfield

21 Sep 2026 · 20:45
NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp
Coleshill Town
Sutton Coldfield
HOME 37.9% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 37.9%
HOME 38.3% 2.45 DRAW 24.8% 3.78 AWAY 36.8% 2.55

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sutton Coldfield

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Coleshill Town Sutton Coldfield
Shots 10.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Coleshill Town Sutton Coldfield
Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Sutton Coldfield has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Coleshill Town Sutton Coldfield

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Coleshill Town ↑ +0.23 (+10.4%)
Sutton Coldfield ↓ -0.23 (-8.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.