Chippenham Town vs Yate Town

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Chippenham Town

Yate Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 35.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% 2.30 DRAW 25.4% 3.70 AWAY 33.6% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Yate Town has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chippenham Town Yate Town

Shots 3.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Yate Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chippenham Town Yate Town

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.5

Yate Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chippenham Town Yate Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Yate Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chippenham Town ↓ -0.10 (-4.2%)

Yate Town ↑ +0.40 (+16.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.