Farnborough vs Uxbridge

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Farnborough

Uxbridge

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.9% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 22.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.3% 1.63 DRAW 21.1% 4.50 AWAY 20.5% 4.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Farnborough

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Farnborough Uxbridge

Shots 14.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Farnborough, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Farnborough Uxbridge

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.3

Uxbridge has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Farnborough Uxbridge

The combined recent performance profile favours Uxbridge.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Farnborough ↑ +0.27 (+19.6%)

Uxbridge ↓ -1.12 (-19.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.