Worksop vs AFC Telford

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Worksop

AFC Telford

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.3% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 33.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.25 DRAW 26.1% 3.64 AWAY 31.7% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AFC Telford

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Worksop AFC Telford

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours AFC Telford, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Worksop AFC Telford

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Worksop AFC Telford

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Worksop ↑ +0.18 (+8.7%)

AFC Telford ↓ -0.11 (-3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.