Khovd Western vs Khans Khuns-Erchim

21 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Khovd Western

Khans Khuns-Erchim

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.2% DRAW 16.0% AWAY 14.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.1% 1.41 DRAW 17.7% 5.25 AWAY 16.2% 5.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Khovd Western relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.2% win probability, compared with 66.1% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Khovd Western

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Khovd Western Khans Khuns-Erchim

Shots 17.0 · On target 7.5 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Khovd Western, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Khovd Western Khans Khuns-Erchim

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Khans Khuns-Erchim has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Khovd Western Khans Khuns-Erchim

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Khovd Western ↑ +0.16 (+12.8%)

Khans Khuns-Erchim ↓ -1.34 (-18.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.