Kadhimiya SC vs Al-Hussein Baghdad

21 Sep 2026 · 14:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Kadhimiya SC

Al-Hussein Baghdad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.4% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 18.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.3% 1.74 DRAW 29.0% 3.20 AWAY 17.7% 5.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kadhimiya SC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kadhimiya SC Al-Hussein Baghdad

Shots 9.5 · On target 1.5 Shots 6.0 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Kadhimiya SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kadhimiya SC Al-Hussein Baghdad

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kadhimiya SC Al-Hussein Baghdad

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kadhimiya SC ↑ +0.06 (+3.8%)

Al-Hussein Baghdad ↑ +0.25 (+5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.