Jabaquara AC SP U20 vs Santos U20

21 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

Jabaquara AC SP U20

Santos U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.4% DRAW 16.3% AWAY 77.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.6% 12.90 DRAW 17.7% 5.58 AWAY 74.7% 1.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Santos U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.3% win probability, compared with 74.7% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Santos U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jabaquara AC SP U20 Santos U20

Shots 7.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 15.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Santos U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jabaquara AC SP U20 Santos U20

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Santos U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jabaquara AC SP U20 Santos U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Santos U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Jabaquara AC SP U20 ↑ +5.40 (+72.0%)

Santos U20 ↑ +0.07 (+5.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.