FC Poltava 2 vs FC Atlet Kyiv

21 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.3 pp

FC Poltava 2

FC Atlet Kyiv

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 36.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% 2.27 DRAW 27.5% 3.34 AWAY 32.0% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FC Atlet Kyiv clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.2% win probability, compared with 32.0% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Atlet Kyiv

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Poltava 2 FC Atlet Kyiv

Shots 4.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 14.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Atlet Kyiv, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Poltava 2 FC Atlet Kyiv

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Poltava 2 FC Atlet Kyiv

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Atlet Kyiv.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Poltava 2 ↓ -0.31 (-12.0%)

FC Atlet Kyiv ↑ +0.62 (+27.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.