Campineira U20 vs Independente Rio Verde U20

21 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Campineira U20

Independente Rio Verde U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 36.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% 2.29 DRAW 24.2% 3.75 AWAY 36.3% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Campineira U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Campineira U20 Independente Rio Verde U20

Shots 12.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Campineira U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Campineira U20 Independente Rio Verde U20

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Independente Rio Verde U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Campineira U20 Independente Rio Verde U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Campineira U20 ↑ +0.04 (+1.8%)

Independente Rio Verde U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.