Dominica vs Anguilla

21 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Dominica

Anguilla

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.2% DRAW 13.5% AWAY 8.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.8% 1.21 DRAW 14.2% 6.65 AWAY 8.0% 11.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Anguilla

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dominica Anguilla

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 3.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dominica Anguilla

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dominica Anguilla

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Dominica = (0.0%)

Anguilla ↑ +3.80 (+47.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.