CD Sal y Mar vs CD San Marcos

22 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

CD Sal y Mar

CD San Marcos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 31.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% 2.38 DRAW 26.3% 3.50 AWAY 35.0% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates CD Sal y Mar clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.3% win probability, compared with 38.7% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Sal y Mar

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Sal y Mar CD San Marcos

Shots 15.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours CD Sal y Mar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Sal y Mar CD San Marcos

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Sal y Mar CD San Marcos

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Sal y Mar.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Sal y Mar = (0.0%)

CD San Marcos = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.