Beijing Guoan U20 vs Shenzhen Peng City U20

21 Sep 2026 · 13:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp

Beijing Guoan U20

Shenzhen Peng City U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.8% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 10.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.5% 1.34 DRAW 20.1% 4.50 AWAY 12.4% 7.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Beijing Guoan U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 71.8% win probability, compared with 67.5% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Beijing Guoan U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Beijing Guoan U20 Shenzhen Peng City U20

Shots 9.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Beijing Guoan U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Beijing Guoan U20 Shenzhen Peng City U20

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.8

Beijing Guoan U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Beijing Guoan U20 Shenzhen Peng City U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Beijing Guoan U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Beijing Guoan U20 = (0.0%)

Shenzhen Peng City U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.