Winchester City vs Bognor Regis Town

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Winchester City

Bognor Regis Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 38.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% 2.37 DRAW 24.0% 3.90 AWAY 36.6% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bognor Regis Town

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Winchester City Bognor Regis Town

Shots 4.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Bognor Regis Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Winchester City Bognor Regis Town

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Winchester City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Winchester City Bognor Regis Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Bognor Regis Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Winchester City ↓ -0.13 (-5.2%)

Bognor Regis Town ↑ +0.30 (+13.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.