Binfield vs Moneyfields

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Binfield

Moneyfields

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.9% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 50.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% 4.19 DRAW 23.3% 4.15 AWAY 53.7% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Binfield relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 25.9% win probability, compared with 23.1% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Binfield

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Binfield Moneyfields

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Binfield, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Binfield Moneyfields

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Binfield Moneyfields

The combined recent performance profile favours Binfield.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Binfield ↑ +1.24 (+42.8%)

Moneyfields ↓ -0.15 (-7.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.