Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior '31

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Sportlust '46

Excelsior '31

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 37.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.8% 2.45 DRAW 24.0% 3.75 AWAY 39.2% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Excelsior '31

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportlust '46 Excelsior '31

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Excelsior '31, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportlust '46 Excelsior '31

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Sportlust '46 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportlust '46 Excelsior '31

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sportlust '46 = (0.0%)

Excelsior '31 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.