Tanzania U20 vs Burundi U20

22 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Tanzania U20

Burundi U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.0% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 13.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.9% 1.45 DRAW 21.5% 4.45 AWAY 12.6% 7.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Burundi U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tanzania U20 Burundi U20

Shots 3.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tanzania U20 Burundi U20

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.8

Burundi U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tanzania U20 Burundi U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Burundi U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Tanzania U20 ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

Burundi U20 ↑ +2.10 (+38.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.