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England Northern League Division One · GB

West Auckland vs Heaton Stannington

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45
NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp
West Auckland
Heaton Stannington
HOME 32.3% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 42.8%
HOME 33.0% 2.85 DRAW 25.5% 3.70 AWAY 41.5% 2.27

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: West Auckland

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
West Auckland Heaton Stannington
Shots 10.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours West Auckland, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
West Auckland Heaton Stannington
Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Heaton Stannington has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
West Auckland Heaton Stannington

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

West Auckland ↑ +0.05 (+1.8%)
Heaton Stannington ↑ +0.19 (+9.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.