Beverley Town vs Pontefract Collieries

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.9 pp

Beverley Town

Pontefract Collieries

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.4% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 52.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.0% 3.30 DRAW 23.7% 3.90 AWAY 48.3% 1.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Pontefract Collieries relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.2% win probability, compared with 48.3% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Pontefract Collieries has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Beverley Town Pontefract Collieries

Shots 11.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 17.3 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours Pontefract Collieries, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Beverley Town Pontefract Collieries

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Pontefract Collieries has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Beverley Town Pontefract Collieries

The combined recent performance profile favours Pontefract Collieries.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Beverley Town ↑ +0.37 (+12.5%)

Pontefract Collieries ↓ -0.15 (-7.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.