Sportivo Luqueno Reserves vs Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

21 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Sportivo Luqueno Reserves

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 41.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.7% 3.21 DRAW 26.4% 3.60 AWAY 43.9% 2.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sportivo Luqueno Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportivo Luqueno Reserves Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Sportivo Luqueno Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportivo Luqueno Reserves Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportivo Luqueno Reserves Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Sportivo Luqueno Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sportivo Luqueno Reserves ↑ +0.21 (+6.8%)

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves ↑ +0.17 (+8.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.