Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Ittifaq Dubai

22 Sep 2026 · 16:40

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Dibba Al Fujairah

Al Ittifaq Dubai

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.3% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 17.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.7% 1.55 DRAW 21.8% 4.25 AWAY 18.5% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Dibba Al Fujairah relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.3% win probability, compared with 59.7% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dibba Al Fujairah

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dibba Al Fujairah Al Ittifaq Dubai

Shots 18.3 · On target 7.5 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Dibba Al Fujairah, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dibba Al Fujairah Al Ittifaq Dubai

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dibba Al Fujairah Al Ittifaq Dubai

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Dibba Al Fujairah ↑ +0.05 (+3.3%)

Al Ittifaq Dubai = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.