General Caballero ZC vs Sport Colonial

21 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

General Caballero ZC

Sport Colonial

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 26.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% 2.15 DRAW 29.2% 3.10 AWAY 28.8% 3.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

General Caballero ZC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

General Caballero ZC Sport Colonial

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

General Caballero ZC Sport Colonial

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.3

General Caballero ZC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

General Caballero ZC Sport Colonial

The combined recent performance profile favours General Caballero ZC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

General Caballero ZC ↓ -0.31 (-12.6%)

Sport Colonial ↑ +0.65 (+26.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.