Hashtag United vs Walthamstow

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Hashtag United

Walthamstow

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.2% DRAW 13.9% AWAY 6.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.6% 1.28 DRAW 15.9% 6.08 AWAY 8.5% 11.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hashtag United relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 79.2% win probability, compared with 75.6% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hashtag United has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hashtag United Walthamstow

Shots 17.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Hashtag United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hashtag United Walthamstow

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 6.5

Hashtag United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hashtag United Walthamstow

The combined recent performance profile favours Hashtag United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hashtag United ↓ -0.05 (-4.0%)

Walthamstow ↑ +5.15 (+82.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.