Felixstowe & Walton Utd vs AFC Sudbury

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Felixstowe & Walton Utd

AFC Sudbury

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.7% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 19.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.4% 1.60 DRAW 21.5% 4.33 AWAY 20.1% 4.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Felixstowe & Walton Utd

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Felixstowe & Walton Utd AFC Sudbury

Shots 16.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Felixstowe & Walton Utd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Felixstowe & Walton Utd AFC Sudbury

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.5

AFC Sudbury has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Felixstowe & Walton Utd AFC Sudbury

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Felixstowe & Walton Utd ↑ +0.03 (+1.8%)

AFC Sudbury ↑ +0.65 (+16.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.