Takeley vs Redbridge

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Takeley

Redbridge

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.4% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 49.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.4% 3.30 DRAW 23.5% 4.12 AWAY 47.2% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Redbridge

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Takeley Redbridge

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Redbridge, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Takeley Redbridge

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Takeley Redbridge

The combined recent performance profile favours Redbridge.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Takeley ↓ -0.01 (-0.2%)

Redbridge ↑ +0.22 (+11.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.