Nuneaton Town vs Grantham

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Nuneaton Town

Grantham

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 33.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% 2.20 DRAW 24.5% 3.80 AWAY 33.2% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nuneaton Town

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nuneaton Town Grantham

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 6.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Nuneaton Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nuneaton Town Grantham

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Grantham has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nuneaton Town Grantham

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nuneaton Town ↓ -0.05 (-2.2%)

Grantham ↑ +0.07 (+2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.