Long Eaton Utd vs Loughborough University

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

Long Eaton Utd

Loughborough University

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 42.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.4% 2.71 DRAW 25.3% 3.80 AWAY 39.3% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Loughborough University relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.4% win probability, compared with 39.3% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Loughborough University has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Long Eaton Utd Loughborough University

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 16.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Loughborough University, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Long Eaton Utd Loughborough University

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Long Eaton Utd Loughborough University

The combined recent performance profile favours Loughborough University.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Long Eaton Utd ↑ +0.38 (+16.5%)

Loughborough University ↓ -0.10 (-3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.