AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Bedworth Utd

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

Bedworth Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 31.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% 2.18 DRAW 26.7% 3.40 AWAY 31.6% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AFC Rushden & Diamonds

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Bedworth Utd

Shots 15.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours AFC Rushden & Diamonds, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Bedworth Utd

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Bedworth Utd has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Bedworth Utd

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AFC Rushden & Diamonds ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

Bedworth Utd ↓ 0.00 (-0.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.