Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves vs Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

22 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.0% DRAW 12.2% AWAY 79.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.7% 11.70 DRAW 13.5% 7.50 AWAY 77.9% 1.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves ↑ +7.20 (+160.0%)

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves ↓ -0.18 (-12.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.