Yupanqui Reserves vs Victoriano Arenas Reserves

22 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Yupanqui Reserves

Victoriano Arenas Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.9% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 8.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.3% 1.34 DRAW 19.1% 5.00 AWAY 9.6% 10.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Victoriano Arenas Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yupanqui Reserves Victoriano Arenas Reserves

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yupanqui Reserves Victoriano Arenas Reserves

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Yupanqui Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yupanqui Reserves Victoriano Arenas Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Yupanqui Reserves ↓ -0.10 (-7.2%)

Victoriano Arenas Reserves ↑ +4.25 (+73.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.