Zamora II vs Atletico Barinas

26 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.2 pp

Zamora II

Atletico Barinas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 32.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.00 DRAW 27.3% 3.30 AWAY 27.7% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Atletico Barinas clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.9% win probability, compared with 27.7% implied by the market. The 5.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Atletico Barinas has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zamora II Atletico Barinas

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 19.5 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Barinas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zamora II Atletico Barinas

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Atletico Barinas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zamora II Atletico Barinas

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico Barinas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Zamora II ↑ +0.33 (+20.0%)

Atletico Barinas ↓ -0.95 (-22.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.