CA Independiente Women vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

25 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

CA Independiente Women

Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.2% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 48.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% 4.10 DRAW 27.1% 3.50 AWAY 49.8% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Independiente Women Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Shots 4.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Ferro Carril Oeste (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Independiente Women Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0

CA Independiente Women has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Independiente Women Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CA Independiente Women ↑ +0.10 (+2.5%)

Ferro Carril Oeste (W) ↑ +0.16 (+9.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.