Central Ballester Reserves vs CA Claypole Reserves

22 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Central Ballester Reserves

CA Claypole Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 7.7% DRAW 13.2% AWAY 79.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.5% 11.10 DRAW 14.5% 6.50 AWAY 77.1% 1.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CA Claypole Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Central Ballester Reserves CA Claypole Reserves

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours CA Claypole Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Central Ballester Reserves CA Claypole Reserves

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0

CA Claypole Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Central Ballester Reserves CA Claypole Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours CA Claypole Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Central Ballester Reserves ↑ +3.60 (+48.0%)

CA Claypole Reserves ↓ -0.03 (-2.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.