City London FC U20 vs Criciuma U20

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

City London FC U20

Criciuma U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.6% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 65.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.4% 6.04 DRAW 22.7% 4.10 AWAY 62.0% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Criciuma U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 65.0% win probability, compared with 62.0% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Criciuma U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

City London FC U20 Criciuma U20

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Criciuma U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

City London FC U20 Criciuma U20

Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Criciuma U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

City London FC U20 Criciuma U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Criciuma U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

City London FC U20 ↑ +1.04 (+20.8%)

Criciuma U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.