Abadia U20 vs Itaucu EC U20

22 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Abadia U20

Itaucu EC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.3% DRAW 16.3% AWAY 75.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.5% 10.90 DRAW 16.9% 5.50 AWAY 74.5% 1.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Itaucu EC U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Abadia U20 Itaucu EC U20

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Abadia U20 Itaucu EC U20

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 1.0

Itaucu EC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Abadia U20 Itaucu EC U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Itaucu EC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Abadia U20 ↑ +3.40 (+45.3%)

Itaucu EC U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.