Aztecas AMF vs Huracanes Izcalli FC

22 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.7 pp

Aztecas AMF

Huracanes Izcalli FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 33.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% 2.57 DRAW 26.5% 3.50 AWAY 37.3% 2.49

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Aztecas AMF clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.9% win probability, compared with 36.1% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Aztecas AMF has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aztecas AMF Huracanes Izcalli FC

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Aztecas AMF, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aztecas AMF Huracanes Izcalli FC

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Aztecas AMF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aztecas AMF Huracanes Izcalli FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Aztecas AMF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Aztecas AMF ↑ +0.17 (+7.1%)

Huracanes Izcalli FC ↑ +0.09 (+3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.