South Park vs Cray Valley Paper Mills

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

South Park

Cray Valley Paper Mills

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% 2.20 DRAW 25.3% 3.82 AWAY 30.7% 3.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for South Park relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.0% win probability, compared with 44.0% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: South Park

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

South Park Cray Valley Paper Mills

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours South Park, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

South Park Cray Valley Paper Mills

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Cray Valley Paper Mills has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

South Park Cray Valley Paper Mills

The combined recent performance profile favours South Park.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

South Park ↑ +0.40 (+22.2%)

Cray Valley Paper Mills ↓ -0.25 (-7.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.