West Coast Rangers (W) vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 05:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

West Coast Rangers (W)

Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.1% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 47.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.4% 4.45 DRAW 27.0% 3.70 AWAY 50.6% 1.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for West Coast Rangers (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 25.1% win probability, compared with 22.4% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

West Coast Rangers (W) Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)

Shots 9.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

West Coast Rangers (W) Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 7.8

West Coast Rangers (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

West Coast Rangers (W) Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours West Coast Rangers (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

West Coast Rangers (W) ↑ +1.70 (+61.8%)

Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) ↓ -0.23 (-10.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.